ST. PAUL, Minn. – Minnesota seems poised to give its electoral votes to Democrat Kamala Harris and her running mate Tim Walz by a comfortable majority in the November 5 election. The five most closely watched public polls gave the Harris-Walz ticket comfortable margins over the last month. The margins raged from six to eight points – beyond the usual margin of error statistical standard. To be sure, polls are snapshots and not a predictive tool –and there remain possibilities for what’s called “October surprises” that could render trajectories topsy-turvy.
> October 12-14: Harris 51%, Trump 43%. Sample; 544 likely voters. By Redfield & Wilton Strategies. For the newspaper London Telegraph.
> September 10 to October 9: Harris 53%, Trump 47%. 400 likely voters. By ActiVote.
> September 27 to October 3: Harris 51%,Trump 43%. 551 likely voters. By Redfield & Wilton. For the London Telegraph.
> September 23 to 26: Harris 50%, Trump 44%. 646 likely voters. By Survey USA. For television stations KSTP, WDIV, KAAL.
> September 16 to19: Harris: 50%, Trump 44%. 703 likely voters. By Redfield & Wilton. For the London Telegraph.
There are other polls commissioned by political parties and special interests for internal decisions on where to channel campaign spending. As private polls, the findings are not released.
Earlier: Poll: Harris widens Minnesota lead over Trump