WINONA, Minn. – Winona State University projects 6,350 students next fall — down 240 from this fall and off 2,000-plus from a peak eight years ago. These aren’t numbers that the university flaunts, unlike years ago when university publicists issued news releases trumpeting enrollment growth. The peak was 2013 with 8,544 students. This fall, at 6,590, was off 22%. The projection for next fall, at 6,350, is off 24.9%. The projection the year after, 6,300, is off 25.5%. Although the university doesn’t work at bringing attention to its shrinking enrollment, university President Scott Olson, who has presided over the decline, acknowledges the drop: “We are a smaller institution than we were 10 years ago.”

The record

2013: 8,459

2014: 8,267

2015: 8,148

2016: 7,890

3017: 7,530

2018: 7,357

2019: 7,216

2020:  7,044

The future

2021: 6,590

2022: 6,350

2023: 6,300

Data for fall semesters.

Calculating enrollments

The standard unit to measure enrollment is not a body count but FTE, short for “full-time equivalent.” As example, a college may hve 12,000 students taking classes, but if they’re all taking half loads, the FTE would be 6,000. Enrollment typically is measured on an agreed-upon date, like the 10th day of classes, which makes for an apples-to-apples comparison among colleges.